Prediction Market Intelligence

The Intelligence Layer for the Prediction Markets

FourKast turns fragmented prediction markets into a single intelligence surface for investors, quants, and institutions. From cross-market forecasting to event–equity impact, we build the tooling that lets you trade on what the world really believes.

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Private beta for professional investors, funds, and research teams.

🧠 Meta-Forecasting Engine

Our engine models relationships between markets, revealing hidden correlations and predictive insights across all exchanges.

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Total Market Size

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All-Time Volume

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Markets Tracked

Why FourKast?

We turn the chaotic world of prediction markets into a structured, institutional-grade intelligence layer. Here's how.

Real-Time Alpha Finder

Identify mispricings and arbitrage opportunities across platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Multi-exchange price comparison across correlated markets.
Automated arbitrage alerting for structured trade ideas.

Event–Equity Impact Modeling

Connect prediction market outcomes directly to stock and sector behavior. Machine-learned impact matrices map topics like "Government Shutdown" to realized moves (e.g., "+1.2% avg. for LMT within 3 days").

Market Timeline Intelligence

Interactive timelines align news, order flow, and probability moves with rich annotations. Understand causality: what actually moved the market, and when.

Prediction-Graph Visualization

Navigate a graph of linked questions: shutdown timing, budget passage, GDP prints, and more. Reveal clusters of belief and how information propagates across narratives.

Quant Toolkit

Built for data scientists, research teams, and systematic funds.

API + CSV export of price history, liquidity, and implied probabilities.
Clean schemas for event, market, and outcome-level data.

Community Prediction Index

A composite index tracking crowd optimism and risk sentiment across all markets.

Example: Crowd Macro Index up 4 points this week — signaling improved confidence in economic stability.

Cross-Data Fusion

Fuse prediction markets with on-chain flows, news sentiment, and social signals.

Explain moves: "Probability rose 12% — primarily driven by a spike in X keyword on social and on-chain positioning."

🧭 Narrative Tracker

Track evolving storylines across prediction markets — elections, policy, macro data, and sector impact.

See which narratives dominate attention and liquidity, how they drift over time, and where positioning is out of sync with fundamentals or historical patterns.